Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000529 0.000574 0.000619 0.000670 0.000725 0.000783 0.000849
2026-01-25 0.000464 0.000525 0.000592 0.000669 0.000756 0.000852 0.000965
2026-02-01 0.000410 0.000481 0.000561 0.000657 0.000770 0.000898 0.001055
2026-02-08 0.000370 0.000447 0.000537 0.000648 0.000782 0.000940 0.001139
2026-02-15 0.000338 0.000420 0.000517 0.000640 0.000794 0.000979 0.001218
2026-02-22 0.000311 0.000396 0.000499 0.000633 0.000804 0.001015 0.001294
2026-03-01 0.000289 0.000375 0.000483 0.000627 0.000813 0.001048 0.001367
2026-03-08 0.000267 0.000354 0.000465 0.000615 0.000815 0.001071 0.001425
2026-03-15 0.000249 0.000336 0.000449 0.000606 0.000818 0.001094 0.001485
2026-03-22 0.000230 0.000317 0.000430 0.000591 0.000811 0.001104 0.001526
2026-03-29 0.000216 0.000302 0.000417 0.000582 0.000812 0.001124 0.001580
2026-04-05 0.000205 0.000292 0.000409 0.000580 0.000823 0.001157 0.001652
2026-04-12 0.000195 0.000283 0.000403 0.000582 0.000840 0.001201 0.001748
2026-04-19 0.000185 0.000273 0.000395 0.000580 0.000852 0.001240 0.001837
2026-04-26 0.000173 0.000259 0.000382 0.000570 0.000852 0.001260 0.001898
2026-05-03 0.000163 0.000247 0.000370 0.000562 0.000854 0.001283 0.001965
2026-05-10 0.000154 0.000237 0.000360 0.000555 0.000857 0.001308 0.002036
2026-05-17 0.000145 0.000228 0.000351 0.000549 0.000860 0.001333 0.002107
2026-05-24 0.000138 0.000219 0.000342 0.000543 0.000864 0.001357 0.002179
2026-05-31 0.000130 0.000209 0.000331 0.000533 0.000860 0.001370 0.002232
2026-06-07 0.000123 0.000201 0.000322 0.000525 0.000859 0.001387 0.002291
2026-06-14 0.000115 0.000190 0.000310 0.000512 0.000849 0.001388 0.002325
2026-06-21 0.000109 0.000183 0.000301 0.000504 0.000847 0.001403 0.002382